Weakening boom reduces unemployment at an unanticipated rate – Employment growth differentiated by age group

Forecast Publications, Economic Forecasts, Autumn 2018 Ilkka Kiema, Hannu Karhunen, Sakari Lähdemäki, Aila Mustonen, Miia Korhonen, Terhi Maczulskij

Economic Forecast for 2018–2019

The boom becomes less pronounced but continues. This year, the growth of exports will not reach the peak figures of last year but the growth will to some extent pick up speed again in next year. The quickly decreased unemployment rate will continue to drop. An analysis of long-term employment growth by age group shows that positive employment growth is concentrated on the one hand on younger employees and, on the other hand, older employees, whereas the employment rate of men aged 25–34 is growing smaller. The government budget policy is too expansive, given the economic situation.

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