Ilkka Kiema
- Research Leader
- Macroeconomics, Economic Policy, Forecasts
- Tel. +358-40 940 2287
- E-mail: ilkka.kiema@labore.fi
- At Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE: 1st August 2015
- Education: Doctor of Philosophy, Doctor of Science (Economics)
Peer-reviewed Scientific Articles
Publications in Labore's series
Working Papers
Reports
Economic Forecasts
- 11.11.2024 – Growth Delayed, Not Halted
- 18.4.2024 – Growth is Underway – Risks Ahead
- 28.9.2023 – A Minor Recession Ahead – an Appropriate Fiscal Stance Does Not Imply Appropriate Budget Cuts
- 20.4.2023 – Finland will return to its growth path – a bumpy road is not a reason for stopping
- 14.9.2022 – Towards a small recession in exceptional times
- 13.4.2022 – Europe Is Thrown from One Crisis to Another
- 13.4.2022 – Money creation can have unpredictable consequences
- 16.9.2021 – Growth is strongest next year – The dynamics of Finnish economy is better than its reputation
- 31.3.2021 – Still Waiting for the Post-Crisis Boom – Stronger Growth Extends Over Two Years
- 31.3.2021 – Hysteresis and the consequences of the coronavirus crisis
- 16.9.2020 – Recovery of trade partners determines the growth of Finnish economy
- 8.4.2020 – Finland stopped – a fast recovery from the crisis might still be possible
- 17.9.2019 – The economy is cooling — assessing the achievement of the employment target is difficult
- 10.4.2019 – Uncertainty weighs on economic growth – Finland has adjusted well to occupational restructuring
- 10.4.2019 – A chaotic Brexit or another serious crisis would weaken Finland’s economic growth
- 11.9.2018 – Weakening boom reduces unemployment at an unanticipated rate – Employment growth differentiated by age group
- 11.9.2018 – A trade war is unlikely, but agreeing on trade rules may become even more difficult
- 11.4.2018 – Strong Growth Continues – Finland Wasn’t a Hopeless Case, After All
- 20.9.2017 – What did we say two years ago already?
- 4.4.2017 – The economy will grow if policy mistakes are avoided
Representative Households
- 26.10.2023 – Owner-occupiers lose out more than renters — purchasing power contracts most for those with a mortgage
- 21.10.2021 – Children reduce income inequality and shape inflation
- 14.10.2020 – Lay-off puts a dent in the wallet — the income of a high-income family contracts the most due to lay-off
- 17.9.2019 – Next year pensioners’ purchasing power will grow most strongly, the unemployed’s most weakly
Sectoral Reports
- 1 – The Future of Work in the Finnish Food Industry: Analysis of the Operating Environment
- 7.9.2023 – Trade and business services, the tourism and restaurant sector, and industry and construction
- 7.9.2023 – General overview of the economy in 2023–2024
- 14.6.2022 – Trade and business services, the tourism and restaurant sector, and industry and construction
- 14.6.2022 – Real and nominal unit labour costs – a sector-by-sector analysis
- 26.11.2015 – Prospects for industry, construction and business services in autumn 2015
External Publications
Policy Reports
- 24.9.2024 – Productivity growth in a new environment. How will the green transition and geopolitics affect productivity?
- 31.10.2023 – Productivity-promoting Policy Measures and the Dynamics of the Business Sector
- 7.6.2023 – Differences in firm productivity and the productivity frontier
- 30.9.2022 – Wages and competitiveness depend on productivity: How can we foster productivity growth?
- 14.12.2020 – Assessment of short-term cost competitiveness
- 20.2.2020 – The economic role of different sized companies and their growth effects
- 28.1.2019 – The Finnish Potential Output: Measurement and Medium-term Prospects
Working Papers