Is the labour market pressure cooker about to boil over? Is there enough restraint in the labour market?

Forecast Publications, Economic Forecasts, Separate Articles Mika Maliranta
Photo: iStock.com, liek52.

Real wage growth and improvements in living standards are based on productivity growth. In 2008, Finland experienced a negative shock that led to a decline in productivity and a slowdown in growth. However, wage growth continued at a rapid pace.

As a result, real wage developments decoupled from productivity, creating a need for adjustment in the labour market. Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, labour markets had already largely adapted to the new situation. A low unemployment rate no longer accelerates wage growth to the same extent as before. (AI translation)