The coronavirus crisis is testing the unity of the euro area

Forecast Publications, Economic Forecasts, Separate Articles Heikki Taimio

The coronavirus pandemic caused a simultaneous supply and demand shock that reduced output, weakened public finances, and increased indebtedness in all euro area countries. Unlike the euro crisis, the shock affected all member states at the same time, fiscal rules were broadly relaxed, and the ECB supported markets through large-scale asset purchase programmes, keeping sovereign borrowing costs low.

However, common EU-level solutions, such as “coronabonds,” were not agreed upon quickly due to disagreements among member states. Overall, the economic impact of the crisis is assessed as severe, but support from financial markets and central banks has so far prevented a deepening of a euro-crisis-style sovereign debt crisis. (AI translation)